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	<title>StartupNorth &#187; The sky is falling</title>
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		<title>The sky is falling</title>
		<link>http://startupnorth.ca/2009/08/11/the-sky-is-falling/#__lsa=caccf2cd</link>
		<comments>http://startupnorth.ca/2009/08/11/the-sky-is-falling/#comments#__lsa=caccf2cd</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Aug 2009 14:38:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Crow</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Venture Capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canada]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.startupnorth.ca/2009/08/11/the-sky-is-falling/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[“we have a structural problem and this means Canada’s ability to drive innovation will weaken and we will see the overall economy suffer.” – Gregory Smith, President of the CVCA The CVCA has released their Q2 2009 Venture Investment data. Venture investment down 42% from 2008. $179M in 2009 compared to $309 at the same [...]<img src='http://analytics.lymbix.com/lsa_tracking/impression?campaign_id=&amp;user_id=dca9041e-8b12-c946-e266-82f09f87ee76&amp;referring_url=&amp;current_url=http%3A%2F%2Fstartupnorth.ca%2F2009%2F08%2F11%2Fthe-sky-is-falling%2F%23__lsa%3Dcaccf2cd&amp;user_agent=rss-feed&amp;impression_time=Wed%2C+23+May+12+02%3A27%3A33+%2B0000&amp;generated_id=caccf2cd&amp;referer_id=' size='1x1'/>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<!-- Start Shareaholic LikeButtonSetTop Automatic --><div style="clear: both; min-height: 1px; height: 3px; width: 100%;"></div><div class='shareaholic-like-buttonset' style='float:none;height:30px;'><a class='shareaholic-fblike' data-shr_layout='button_count' data-shr_showfaces='false' data-shr_href='http%3A%2F%2Fstartupnorth.ca%2F2009%2F08%2F11%2Fthe-sky-is-falling%2F' data-shr_title='The+sky+is+falling'></a><a class='shareaholic-googleplusone' data-shr_size='medium' data-shr_count='true' data-shr_href='http%3A%2F%2Fstartupnorth.ca%2F2009%2F08%2F11%2Fthe-sky-is-falling%2F' data-shr_title='The+sky+is+falling'></a><a class='shareaholic-tweetbutton' data-shr_count='horizontal' data-shr_href='http%3A%2F%2Fstartupnorth.ca%2F2009%2F08%2F11%2Fthe-sky-is-falling%2F' data-shr_title='The+sky+is+falling'></a></div><div style="clear: both; min-height: 1px; height: 3px; width: 100%;"></div><!-- End Shareaholic LikeButtonSetTop Automatic --><blockquote cite="http://www.cvca.ca/files/News/CVCA_Q2_2009_VC_Release_Final.pdf"><p>“we have a structural problem and this means Canada’s ability to drive innovation will weaken and we will see the overall economy suffer.” – Gregory Smith, President of the CVCA</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The CVCA has released their <a href="http://www.cvca.ca/files/News/CVCA_Q2_2009_VC_Release_Final.pdf">Q2 2009 Venture Investment data</a>. </p>
<ul>
<li>Venture investment down 42% from 2008. $179M in 2009 compared to $309 at the same point in 2008. This includes a $50M placement from OMERS for <a href="http://publicmobile.ca/">PublicMobile</a>, which when removed makes the numbers even worse. </li>
<li>Average deal size decreased to $1.9M from $2.9M, this means that Canadian companies have less available resources than US competitors.&#160; </li>
</ul>
<p>So it’s bad. Really bad. This is not the first time. It probably won’t be the last time we hear about the <a href="http://www.techvibes.com/blog/venture-capital-funding-outlook-in-canada">troubles of Canadian VCs</a>. Anybody really surprised?</p>
<p>The VC industry in Canada has been in turmoil for a long period of time. There are regulatory and structural hurdles, which the CVCA is actively lobbying politicians for the support. This includes lobbying for support to SR&amp;ED tax credit programs, offset agreements, incentives for investment, etc. I’m not sure that “establishing a blue chip, limited-life panel comprised of company executives, university presidents and venture capitalists with the express mandate to devise a road map for Canada’s technology industries” will provide the solutions necessary to Canadian entrepreneurs. And while I think that VCs are an important part of the ecosystem to support and nurture entrepreneurs, they are only part of solution. It is the <a href="http://www.startupnorth.ca/2008/07/16/how-startups-will-save-venture-capital-in-canada/">entrepreneurs and startups that will save venture capital in Canada</a>.&#160; </p>
<p>What does all of this mean?</p>
<ul>
<li>Number of investors will continue to decrease </li>
<li>Valuations will continue to decrease </li>
<li>Customer uptake will be slower </li>
<li>Need to become cash flow positive </li>
<li>Acquiring entities will favour profitable companies </li>
</ul>
<p>Does this sound familiar? It’s pretty much verbatim out of Sequoia Capital’s <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/eldon/sequoia-capital-on-startups-and-the-economic-downturn-presentation?type=powerpoint">R.I.P. Good Times presentation</a> or Ron Conway’s <a href="http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/10/08/angel-investor-ron-conway-adresses-his-portfolio-companies-over-financial-meltdown/">email to his portfolio</a>. This is not new or news to Canadian companies. Raising money has been difficult for a while in Canada. Our investors have preferred later stage investments, in the H1 2009 just over 60% of all of the capital when to later stage deals (Series B and later). We’ve seen a need for companies to be able to demonstrate a product, customers and market potential just to raise early funding.&#160;&#160; </p>
<p>There are Canadian ventures that are growing and successfully operating on revenues. Along with a set of emerging technology ventures that have closed non-traditional funding rounds. Well.ca raised <a href="http://www.startupnorth.ca/2009/07/30/well-ca-raises-a-new-round-continues-to-grow/">$1.1M from angels</a>. J2Play was <a href="http://www.startupnorth.ca/2009/08/05/j2play-acquired-by-electronic-arts/">acquired by Electronic Arts</a>. It’s possible to raise money, to get acquired, to operate successfully during tough times. You just have to execute better than your competitors.</p>
<p>So what is an entrepreneur supposed to do?</p>
<ol>
<li>Read <a href="http://www.startupnorth.ca/2008/07/16/how-startups-will-save-venture-capital-in-canada/">How Startups will save Venture Capital in Canada</a>. </li>
<li>Read <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/eldon/sequoia-capital-on-startups-and-the-economic-downturn-presentation?type=powerpoint">R.I.P. Good Times</a>. and <a href="http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/10/08/angel-investor-ron-conway-adresses-his-portfolio-companies-over-financial-meltdown/">Ron Conway’s email to his portfolio</a>. </li>
<li>Stop worrying about the state of Venture Capital in Canada. </li>
<li>Start building real businesses with real customers driving real revenues (if you need to raise money there are <a href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/readwritestart/2009/06/the-capital-raising-ladder.php">other sources of capital</a>). </li>
<li>Look for growth in markets outside of Canada (while this includes the US, it should not be limited to US only growth). </li>
<li>Execute, execute, execute. You’re only as good as your last deal. So find customers, keep them happy, and keep innovating. </li>
</ol>
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